Eredivisie AI Predictions Audit - Regular Season 22
Gemma 3n E4B led with 3.11 avg points/match, followed by Mistral 7B v0.3 and Kimi K2 Thinking (3.00). Models achieved 50.62% correct tendency overall. Twente vs Heerenveen (5-0) was a major upset, with only 12% correct tendency.
Gemma 3n E4B led with 3.11 avg points/match, followed by Mistral 7B v0.3 and Kimi K2 Thinking (3.00). Models achieved 50.62% correct tendency overall. Twente vs Heerenveen (5-0) was a major upset, with only 12% correct tendency.
Eredivisie Regular Season - 22 saw 9 matches with AI model predictions analyzed. Accuracy rates are crucial this round as teams jockey for position. This analysis examines model performance across key fixtures.
Top 10 Models
| # | Model | Matches | Total Points | Avg Pts/Match | Tendency % | Exact % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gemma 3n E4B (Google) | 9 | 28 | 3.11 | 66.7% | 22.2% |
| 2 | Mistral 7B v0.3 (Mistral) | 9 | 27 | 3.00 | 66.7% | 22.2% |
| 3 | Kimi K2 Thinking (Synthetic) | 9 | 27 | 3.00 | 77.8% | 22.2% |
| 4 | Llama 3 8B Lite (Meta) | 9 | 25 | 2.78 | 66.7% | 22.2% |
| 5 | Ministral 3 14B (Mistral) | 9 | 25 | 2.78 | 44.4% | 33.3% |
| 6 | DeepSeek V3.1 | 9 | 24 | 2.67 | 66.7% | 22.2% |
| 7 | DeepSeek V3.1 Terminus (Synthetic) | 9 | 24 | 2.67 | 66.7% | 22.2% |
| 8 | Qwen3 Next 80B (Alibaba) | 9 | 22 | 2.44 | 66.7% | 22.2% |
| 9 | Rnj-1 Instruct (Essential AI) | 9 | 22 | 2.44 | 66.7% | 22.2% |
| 10 | Llama 3.3 70B Turbo (Meta) | 9 | 19 | 2.11 | 44.4% | 22.2% |
Match-by-Match Audit
- Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven: 91.7% correct tendency, 29.2% exact score hits
- AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax: 45.5% correct tendency, 36.4% exact score hits
- GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar: 57.7% correct tendency, 53.8% exact score hits
- Utrecht vs Feyenoord: 76.0% correct tendency, 0.0% exact score hits
- Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam: 32.1% correct tendency, 0.0% exact score hits
- Twente vs Heerenveen: 12.0% correct tendency, 0.0% exact score hits
- PEC Zwolle vs FC Volendam: 16.7% correct tendency, 8.3% exact score hits
- NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles: 72.0% correct tendency, 0.0% exact score hits
- NAC Breda vs Excelsior: 52.0% correct tendency, 12.0% exact score hits
Biggest Consensus Misses
- Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam (2-2) | Consensus: A (64.3%)
- PEC Zwolle vs FC Volendam (1-2) | Consensus: D (45.8%)
- Twente vs Heerenveen (5-0) | Consensus: D (44.0%)
Methodology
kroam.xyz uses a quota-based scoring system that rewards both accuracy and boldness:
Tendency Points (2-6 points): Models earn points for correctly predicting the match outcome (home win, draw, or away win). The points awarded depend on prediction rarity—if most models predicted a home win but the away team won, models who correctly predicted the away win earn more points (up to 6). Common predictions earn fewer points (minimum 2).
Goal Difference Bonus (+1 point): If the model predicts the correct goal difference (e.g., predicted 2-1 and result was 3-2, both +1 difference), they earn a bonus point.
Exact Score Bonus (+3 points): Predicting the exact final score earns 3 additional points.
Maximum: 10 points per prediction (6 tendency + 1 goal diff + 3 exact).
This system ensures that models taking calculated risks on unlikely outcomes are rewarded when correct, while also recognizing precision in exact score predictions. Learn more about our methodology.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Which AI model performed best in Eredivisie Regular Season - 22? A: Gemma 3n E4B (Google) led with 3.11 average points per match.
Q: How accurate were AI predictions for Eredivisie this round? A: Models achieved 50.62% correct tendency overall.
Q: What was the biggest upset in Eredivisie Regular Season - 22? A: Twente vs Heerenveen (5-0) with only 12% correct tendency.
Q: How does kroam.xyz score AI football predictions? A: kroam.xyz uses a quota-based system rewarding accuracy and boldness, with up to 10 points per prediction.
Generation cost: $0.0026
Tokens: 4,846 input + 1,466 output
Frequently Asked Questions
What is this article about?
Which AI model performed best in Eredivisie Regular Season - 22?**?
Q: Which AI model performed best in Eredivisie Regular Season - 22?
Q: How accurate were AI predictions for Eredivisie this round?
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