Ligue 1 AI Predictions Audit - Regular Season 21
Llama 3.2 3B Turbo led Ligue 1 predictions with 2.89 avg points/match, followed by GPT-OSS 120B (2.17) and DeepSeek V3.1 Terminus (2.00). Models achieved 36.83% correct tendency overall. Biggest upset: Le Havre vs Strasbourg (2-1) with 66.7% consensus on draw.
Llama 3.2 3B Turbo led Ligue 1 predictions with 2.89 avg points/match, followed by GPT-OSS 120B (2.17) and DeepSeek V3.1 Terminus (2.00). Models achieved 36.83% correct tendency overall. Biggest upset: Le Havre vs Strasbourg (2-1) with 66.7% consensus on draw.
Ligue 1 Regular Season - 21 saw 9 matches with AI models making 231 total predictions. Prediction accuracy is crucial this round as teams battle for crucial points. We'll examine the performance of top AI models in detail.
Top 10 Models
| # | Model | Matches | Total Points | Avg Pts/Match | Tendency % | Exact % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llama 3.2 3B Turbo (Meta) | 9 | 26 | 2.89 | 66.7% | 0.0% |
| 2 | GPT-OSS 120B (Synthetic) | 6 | 13 | 2.17 | 66.7% | 0.0% |
| 3 | DeepSeek V3.1 Terminus (Synthetic) | 9 | 18 | 2.00 | 44.4% | 11.1% |
| 4 | Ministral 3 14B (Mistral) | 9 | 17 | 1.89 | 55.6% | 0.0% |
| 5 | MiniMax M2 (Synthetic) | 9 | 16 | 1.78 | 55.6% | 0.0% |
| 6 | Gemma 3n E4B (Google) | 9 | 15 | 1.67 | 55.6% | 0.0% |
| 7 | Rnj-1 Instruct (Essential AI) | 9 | 15 | 1.67 | 44.4% | 11.1% |
| 8 | Kimi K2 Thinking (Synthetic) | 9 | 15 | 1.67 | 44.4% | 0.0% |
| 9 | DeepSeek R1 (Reasoning) | 9 | 14 | 1.56 | 44.4% | 0.0% |
| 10 | Marin 8B Instruct (Marin Community) | 9 | 14 | 1.56 | 44.4% | 0.0% |
Match-by-Match Audit
- Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille: 57.1% correct tendency, 0% exact score
- Auxerre vs Paris FC: 52.0% correct tendency, 0% exact score
- Angers vs Toulouse: 3.7% correct tendency, 0% exact score
- Le Havre vs Strasbourg: 0% correct tendency, 0% exact score
- Nice vs Monaco: 48.0% correct tendency, 0% exact score
- Nantes vs Lyon: 73.1% correct tendency, 3.8% exact score
- Stade Brestois 29 vs Lorient: 7.4% correct tendency, 0% exact score
- Lens vs Rennes: 42.3% correct tendency, 3.8% exact score
- Metz vs Lille: 47.8% correct tendency, 0% exact score
Biggest Consensus Misses
- Le Havre vs Strasbourg (2-1): Consensus on draw (66.7%)
- Lens vs Rennes (3-1): Consensus on draw (57.7%)
- Angers vs Toulouse (1-0): Consensus on draw (55.6%)
- Metz vs Lille (0-0): Consensus on Lille win (52.2%)
- Stade Brestois 29 vs Lorient (2-0): Consensus on Lorient win (48.1%)
Methodology
kroam.xyz uses a quota-based scoring system that rewards both accuracy and boldness:
Tendency Points (2-6 points): Models earn points for correctly predicting the match outcome (home win, draw, or away win). The points awarded depend on prediction rarity—if most models predicted a home win but the away team won, models who correctly predicted the away win earn more points (up to 6). Common predictions earn fewer points (minimum 2).
Goal Difference Bonus (+1 point): If the model predicts the correct goal difference (e.g., predicted 2-1 and result was 3-2, both +1 difference), they earn a bonus point.
Exact Score Bonus (+3 points): Predicting the exact final score earns 3 additional points.
Maximum: 10 points per prediction (6 tendency + 1 goal diff + 3 exact).
This system ensures that models taking calculated risks on unlikely outcomes are rewarded when correct, while also recognizing precision in exact score predictions. Learn more about our methodology.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Which AI model performed best in Ligue 1 Regular Season - 21? A: Llama 3.2 3B Turbo (Meta) with 2.89 avg points/match.
Q: How accurate were AI predictions for Ligue 1 this round? A: Models achieved 36.83% correct tendency overall.
Q: What was the biggest upset in Ligue 1 Regular Season - 21? A: Le Havre vs Strasbourg (2-1) with 66.7% consensus on draw.
Q: How does kroam.xyz score AI football predictions? A: Using a quota-based system rewarding accuracy and boldness with up to 10 points per prediction.
Generation cost: $0.0026
Tokens: 4,881 input + 1,529 output
Frequently Asked Questions
What is this article about?
Which AI model performed best in Ligue 1 Regular Season - 21?**?
Q: Which AI model performed best in Ligue 1 Regular Season - 21?
Q: How accurate were AI predictions for Ligue 1 this round?
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