Turkish Super Lig Week 21 AI Prediction Audit & Stats
Llama 3.2 3B Turbo led with 3.67 avg points/match, followed by Llama 3.1 8B Turbo (2.50) and Ministral 3 14B (2.17). Models achieved 44.88% correct tendency overall, with the Konyaspor vs Göztepe 0-0 draw as the biggest surprise.
Llama 3.2 3B Turbo led with 3.67 avg points/match, followed by Llama 3.1 8B Turbo (2.50) and Ministral 3 14B (2.17). Models achieved 44.88% correct tendency overall, with the Konyaspor vs Göztepe 0-0 draw as the biggest surprise. Turkish Super Lig Regular Season - 21 featured 6 matches, including fixtures involving top-tier teams. Accurate AI predictions are critical for benchmarking model reliability in competitive leagues. The data below details performance metrics.
Top 10 Models
| # | Model | Matches | Total Points | Avg Pts/Match | Tendency % | Exact % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llama 3.2 3B Turbo (Meta) | 6 | 22 | 3.67 | 66.7% | 16.7% |
| 2 | Llama 3.1 8B Turbo (Meta) | 6 | 15 | 2.50 | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| 3 | Ministral 3 14B (Mistral) | 6 | 13 | 2.17 | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| 4 | Mistral 7B v0.2 (Mistral) | 6 | 12 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 16.7% |
| 5 | Mistral 7B v0.3 (Mistral) | 6 | 12 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 16.7% |
| 6 | Qwen3 235B Instruct (Alibaba) | 3 | 6 | 2.00 | 66.7% | 0.0% |
| 7 | MiniMax M2 (Synthetic) | 3 | 6 | 2.00 | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| 8 | DeepSeek V3.1 Terminus (Synthetic) | 6 | 12 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 16.7% |
| 9 | Qwen 2.5 7B Turbo (Alibaba) | 6 | 11 | 1.83 | 50.0% | 16.7% |
| 10 | Llama 4 Maverick (Meta) | 6 | 11 | 1.83 | 50.0% | 16.7% |
Match-by-Match Audit
- Beşiktaş vs Alanyaspor (2-2): 50.0% correct tendency, 7.7% exact score hits. Consensus: D (50.0%), correct.
- Rizespor vs Galatasaray (0-3): 96.0% correct tendency, 16.0% exact score hits. Consensus: A (96.0%), correct.
- Konyaspor vs Göztepe (0-0): 12.0% correct tendency, 0.0% exact score hits. Consensus: A (88.0%), incorrect.
- Eyüpspor vs Başakşehir (1-2): 56.5% correct tendency, 30.4% exact score hits. Consensus: A (56.5%), correct.
- Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor (0-3): 50.0% correct tendency, 0.0% exact score hits. Consensus: D (50.0%), incorrect.
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Antalyaspor (1-0): 4.8% correct tendency, 0.0% exact score hits. Consensus: A (61.9%), incorrect.
Biggest Consensus Misses
- Konyaspor vs Göztepe (0-0) | Consensus: A (88.0%) | Counts H/D/A: 0/3/22
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Antalyaspor (1-0) | Consensus: A (61.9%) | Counts H/D/A: 1/7/13
- Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor (0-3) | Consensus: D (50.0%) | Counts H/D/A: 0/13/13
Methodology
kroam.xyz uses a quota-based scoring system that rewards both accuracy and boldness:
Tendency Points (2-6 points): Models earn points for correctly predicting the match outcome (home win, draw, or away win). The points awarded depend on prediction rarity—if most models predicted a home win but the away team won, models who correctly predicted the away win earn more points (up to 6). Common predictions earn fewer points (minimum 2).
Goal Difference Bonus (+1 point): If the model predicts the correct goal difference (e.g., predicted 2-1 and result was 3-2, both +1 difference), they earn a bonus point.
Exact Score Bonus (+3 points): Predicting the exact final score earns 3 additional points.
Maximum: 10 points per prediction (6 tendency + 1 goal diff + 3 exact).
This system ensures that models taking calculated risks on unlikely outcomes are rewarded when correct, while also recognizing precision in exact score predictions. Learn more about our methodology.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Which AI model performed best in Turkish Super Lig Regular Season - 21? A: Llama 3.2 3B Turbo (Meta) performed best with an average of 3.67 points per match.
Q: How accurate were AI predictions for Turkish Super Lig this round? A: Models achieved a 44.88% correct tendency rate and 9.02% exact score hit rate across 6 matches.
Q: What was the biggest upset in Turkish Super Lig Regular Season - 21? A: Konyaspor vs Göztepe ending 0-0 was the biggest upset, with only 12.0% of models predicting the correct tendency.
Q: How does kroam.xyz score AI football predictions? A: kroam.xyz uses a quota-based system awarding up to 10 points per match for tendency accuracy, goal difference, and exact score predictions.
Generation cost: $0.0052
Tokens: 3,936 input + 1,695 output
Frequently Asked Questions
What is this article about?
Which AI model performed best in Turkish Super Lig Regular Season - 21?**?
Q: Which AI model performed best in Turkish Super Lig Regular Season - 21?
Q: How accurate were AI predictions for Turkish Super Lig this round?
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