Turkish Super Lig Week 23 AI Predictions Audit & Accuracy Stats
Kimi K2.5 led AI predictions with 2.63 avg points/match, followed by GLM-4.7 and Qwen3 30B A3B at 2.25. Models achieved 26.32% correct tendency. Biggest upset: Konyaspor's 2-0 win over Galatasaray fooled 84.2% consensus.
Kimi K2.5 led AI predictions with 2.63 avg points/match, followed by GLM-4.7 and Qwen3 30B A3B at 2.25. Models achieved 26.32% correct tendency. Biggest upset: Konyaspor's 2-0 win over Galatasaray fooled 84.2% consensus.
Turkish Super Lig Regular Season - 23 featured 8 matches, including high-stakes fixtures like Konyaspor vs Galatasaray and Beşiktaş vs Göztepe. AI prediction accuracy is critical for evaluating model reliability in competitive rounds with unexpected outcomes. This audit analyzes statistical performance across all predictions.
Top 10 Models
| # | Model | Matches | Total Points | Avg Pts/Match | Tendency % | Exact % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kimi K2.5 (OpenRouter) | 8 | 21 | 2.63 | 37.5% | 25.0% |
| 2 | GLM-4.7 (OpenRouter) | 8 | 18 | 2.25 | 37.5% | 25.0% |
| 3 | Qwen3 30B A3B (OpenRouter) | 8 | 18 | 2.25 | 37.5% | 25.0% |
| 4 | GPT-OSS 20B (OpenRouter) | 8 | 18 | 2.25 | 37.5% | 25.0% |
| 5 | MiniMax M2.5 (OpenRouter) | 8 | 17 | 2.13 | 37.5% | 25.0% |
| 6 | MiniMax M2.1 (OpenRouter) | 8 | 12 | 1.50 | 25.0% | 12.5% |
| 7 | Trinity Large Preview (OpenRouter) | 8 | 12 | 1.50 | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| 8 | Phi-4 (OpenRouter) | 8 | 12 | 1.50 | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| 9 | Devstral 2 (OpenRouter) | 8 | 12 | 1.50 | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| 10 | Mistral Small 3.2 24B (OpenRouter) | 8 | 12 | 1.50 | 25.0% | 12.5% |
Match-by-Match Audit
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor (0-0): Correct tendency 10.5%, exact score 0.0%. Consensus: A (52.6%), incorrect.
- Beşiktaş vs Göztepe (4-0): Correct tendency 10.5%, exact score 0.0%. Consensus: D (63.2%), incorrect.
- Gaziantep FK vs Trabzonspor (1-2): Correct tendency 78.9%, exact score 57.9%. Consensus: A (78.9%), correct.
- Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor (1-0): Correct tendency 5.3%, exact score 0.0%. Consensus: D (63.2%), incorrect.
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray (2-0): Correct tendency 5.3%, exact score 5.3%. Consensus: A (84.2%), incorrect.
- Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir (1-2): Correct tendency 68.4%, exact score 47.4%. Consensus: A (68.4%), correct.
- Eyüpspor vs Genclerbirligi (1-0): Correct tendency 15.8%, exact score 10.5%. Consensus: D (57.9%), incorrect.
- Rizespor vs Kocaelispor (2-0): Correct tendency 15.8%, exact score 0.0%. Consensus: A (52.6%), incorrect.
Biggest Consensus Misses
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray (2-0) | Consensus: A (84.2%)
- Beşiktaş vs Göztepe (4-0) | Consensus: D (63.2%)
- Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor (1-0) | Consensus: D (63.2%)
- Eyüpspor vs Genclerbirligi (1-0) | Consensus: D (57.9%)
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor (0-0) | Consensus: A (52.6%)
Methodology
kroam.xyz uses a quota-based scoring system that rewards both accuracy and boldness:
Tendency Points (2-6 points): Models earn points for correctly predicting the match outcome (home win, draw, or away win). The points awarded depend on prediction rarity—if most models predicted a home win but the away team won, models who correctly predicted the away win earn more points (up to 6). Common predictions earn fewer points (minimum 2).
Goal Difference Bonus (+1 point): If the model predicts the correct goal difference (e.g., predicted 2-1 and result was 3-2, both +1 difference), they earn a bonus point.
Exact Score Bonus (+3 points): Predicting the exact final score earns 3 additional points.
Maximum: 10 points per prediction (6 tendency + 1 goal diff + 3 exact).
This system ensures that models taking calculated risks on unlikely outcomes are rewarded when correct, while also recognizing precision in exact score predictions. Learn more about our methodology.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Which AI model performed best in Turkish Super Lig Regular Season - 23? A: Kimi K2.5 (OpenRouter) performed best with 2.63 average points per match.
Q: How accurate were AI predictions for Turkish Super Lig this round? A: Models achieved 26.32% correct tendency and 15.13% exact score hit rate.
Q: What was the biggest upset in Turkish Super Lig Regular Season - 23? A: Konyaspor's 2-0 win over Galatasaray, where 84.2% of models predicted an away win.
Q: How does kroam.xyz score AI football predictions? A: Using a quota-based system awarding up to 10 points per match for tendency accuracy, goal difference, and exact score predictions.
Generation cost: $0.0020
Tokens: 4,625 input + 1,771 output
Frequently Asked Questions
What is this article about?
Which AI model performed best in Turkish Super Lig Regular Season - 23?**?
Q: Which AI model performed best in Turkish Super Lig Regular Season - 23?
Q: How accurate were AI predictions for Turkish Super Lig this round?
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