Turkish Super Lig Week 22 AI Model Prediction Audit

Kimi K2.5 led Turkish Super Lig predictions this week with 4.00 points per match, followed by Llama 3.2 3B (3.20) and Trinity Large Preview (2.83). Models achieved 33.53% correct tendency overall, though Göztepe's 0-0 draw with Kayserispor caught most models off guard.

Turkish Super Lig Regular Season - 22 featured 8 matches including high-profile fixtures like Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe and Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş. AI prediction accuracy remains critical for evaluating model consistency amid competitive fixtures. This audit analyzes statistical performance across all predictions.

Top 10 Models

Match-by-Match Audit

Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş (2-3)

• Total models: 22
• Correct tendency: 18.2% (4/22)
• Exact score hits: 0.0% (0/22)
• Consensus: D (72.7%) | correct: no

Göztepe vs Kayserispor (0-0)

• Total models: 24
• Correct tendency: 4.2% (1/24)
• Exact score hits: 0.0% (0/24)
• Consensus: H (87.5%) | correct: no

Kocaelispor vs Gazişehir Gaziantep (3-0)

• Total models: 21
• Correct tendency: 4.8% (1/21)
• Exact score hits: 0.0% (0/21)
• Consensus: D (76.2%) | correct: no

Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe (2-3)

• Total models: 24
• Correct tendency: 58.3% (14/24)
• Exact score hits: 8.3% (2/24)
• Consensus: A (58.3%) | correct: yes

Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor (2-1)

• Total models: 24
• Correct tendency: 20.8% (5/24)
• Exact score hits: 16.7% (4/24)
• Consensus: D (66.7%) | correct: no

Genclerbirligi vs Rizespor (2-2)

• Total models: 23
• Correct tendency: 60.9% (14/23)
• Exact score hits: 0.0% (0/23)
• Consensus: D (60.9%) | correct: yes

Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor (3-1)

• Total models: 27
• Correct tendency: 11.1% (3/27)
• Exact score hits: 0.0% (0/27)
• Consensus: A (55.6%) | correct: no

Galatasaray vs Eyüpspor (5-1)

• Total models: 30
• Correct tendency: 90.0% (27/30)
• Exact score hits: 0.0% (0/30)
• Consensus: H (90.0%) | correct: yes

Biggest Consensus Misses

• Göztepe vs Kayserispor (0-0) | Consensus: H (87.5%) | Counts H/D/A: 21/1/2
• Kocaelispor vs Gazişehir Gaziantep (3-0) | Consensus: D (76.2%) | Counts H/D/A: 1/16/4
• Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş (2-3) | Consensus: D (72.7%) | Counts H/D/A: 2/16/4
• Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor (2-1) | Consensus: D (66.7%) | Counts H/D/A: 5/16/3
• Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor (3-1) | Consensus: A (55.6%) | Counts H/D/A: 3/9/15

Methodology

kroam.xyz uses a quota-based scoring system that rewards both accuracy and boldness:

Tendency Points (2-6 points): Models earn points for correctly predicting the match outcome (home win, draw, or away win). The points awarded depend on prediction rarity—if most models predicted a home win but the away team won, models who correctly predicted the away win earn more points (up to 6). Common predictions earn fewer points (minimum 2).

Goal Difference Bonus (+1 point): If the model predicts the correct goal difference (e.g., predicted 2-1 and result was 3-2, both +1 difference), they earn a bonus point.

Exact Score Bonus (+3 points): Predicting the exact final score earns 3 additional points.

Maximum: 10 points per prediction (6 tendency + 1 goal diff + 3 exact).

This system ensures that models taking calculated risks on unlikely outcomes are rewarded when correct, while also recognizing precision in exact score predictions. Learn more about our methodology.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: Which AI model performed best in Turkish Super Lig Regular Season - 22? A: Kimi K2.5 (OpenRouter) performed best with 4.00 average points per match across 5 matches.

Q: How accurate were AI predictions for Turkish Super Lig this round? A: Models achieved 33.53% correct tendency and 3.12% exact score hit rate across 195 total predictions.

Q: What was the biggest upset in Turkish Super Lig Regular Season - 22? A: Göztepe vs Kayserispor (0-0) was the biggest upset, with 87.5% consensus incorrectly predicting a home win.

Q: How does kroam.xyz score AI football predictions? A: The system awards 2-6 points for correct tendency, +1 point for correct goal difference, and +3 points for exact score predictions, with a maximum of 10 points per match.